UN Dispatch
9 For '09
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Energy Victory
GlennReynolds at 1/29/2008 10:25PM
Energy Victory
The next President should announce support for Robert Zubrin's Energy Victory policy that all new cars sold in the United States be flex-fuel vehicles that can run on ethanol and methanol. Achievable for just $100 a car, this helps the environment and the third world poor, while helping to break OPEC.








I am not a conspiracy guy nor a BDS sufferer. I think that W is the second best president of my lifetime.
But the comment by his science adviser to Bob Zubrin that they "don't do mandates" is the most asinine, inane, and stupid, perhaps even corrupt statement I have heard in a long time. They "do" mandates all the time- for CAFE (which I am, BTW, fine with- let Detroit get creative for a change), for ethanol market shares, for seat belts, auto crash safety, breakfast cereal labels, public school test scores, required Medicaid coverages, you name it.
The fact that this simple, virtually costless, bipartisan, economically sound, consumer-friendly, liberty-enhancing idea to require flex fuel capability for all new car engines was dismissed out of hand suggests that my guy W is indeed bought and paid for by the Saudis, just like Baker, Akin Gump, and half of Congress. They want us to die covered in oil.
Sickening.
Robert Zubrin's Energy Victory policy, when implemented, will have no effect at all. It is the "energy independence" equivalent of cold fusion....
"Robert Zubrin's Energy Victory policy, when implemented, will have no effect at all. It is the "energy independence" equivalent of cold fusion...."
So true. And even if it did, it wouldn't break OPEC since we import little of their output. It might lower the price of oil which China would ike
Oil is a globally traded commodity...it doesn't matter if we get our oil directly from the Saudis/ME or not. A nation such as the U.S. purchasing less Venezuelan/Mexican/Canadian oil could potentially lower the price due to simple demand/supply economics. How OPEC would react, though, could lessen the impact....artificially then creating a short supply isn't exactly something they are above, for example.
Kurmudege writes: "I am not a conspiracy guy nor a BDS sufferer."
No, no, of course not (backs away slowly), just take a deep breath, it's all over now.
As long as the mandate includes a prohibition against using food crops (corn, soy, sugar beets, sugar cane) to make the ethanol - then fine. Otherwise, the ethanol producers will increase the demand for food crops, causing food prices to increase. Alternatively, we could invade Cuba to seize their sugar cane fields to fuel our ethanol consumption.....
Somehow, I have a hard time seeing the next president approving anything having to do with "meth." Kidding, sort of. For $100 a car, why not have it be voluntary? Any other requirement is a tax. And not very libertarian, Glenn!
Why ethanol and not biodiesel?
We've already established that the feed stocks for ethanol are petroleum-intensive in their cultivation and net-losses of energy in their conversion to ethanol. Simply put: growing corn to produce ethanol consumes more oil than just making gasoline in the first place. (I'll leave aside the run up in food prices in developing countries which is being blamed on ethanol-driven consumption.)
Biodiesel differs in that (1) you actually get net-increases in energy from feestocks, (2) it can be made with rendered and recycled oils which are in surplus, (3) the engines are also compatible with any vegetable oils, propane, natural gas, ethanol and hydrogen gas, (4) Johnathan Goodwin has demonstrated practical/realworld 100 mpg H2 hummers.
Another benefit of biodiesel over ethanol: up to 50% reduction in the hazardous emissions from goods transportation and a corresponding decrease in medical costs.
It is important to know that the science is showing more and more clearly the biofuels are not the solution they are being touted as but are merely a boondoggle for agribusiness. The use of petrochemicals in the fuels' production, the complications of land use and habitat destruction and the diversion of food, all greatly complicate the picture and put the whole project in doubt. Don't be fooled; it's not as simply as energy from plants, not at all.
While I agree that we need to investigate alternatives to petrochemicals, I don't agree that it's time for the government to choose ethanol.
Ethanol is economically questionable and it's affect on corn/grain prices would screw food prices throughout the poorest countries the world over (unless/until technology for using cellulose feedstack is developed). The only reason that ethanol is on the table is that its a windfall for agribusiness and would let automakers off the hook.
Methanol has possibilities but is a ways from commercialization.
Based on your recommendation I read the book and it is brilliant. Nice find. I have a few comments to those who have commented above.
1) Currently $500 billion / year is going to the House of Saud which is crippling our economy. Paying 1/2 to 1/3 that amount to our own farmers or farmers in the third world can only help our people.
2) Methanol can be made from urban trash, pond scum, agricultural wastes, coal (of which the USA has the worlds largest reserves) or just about anything with carbon in it. It is currently 1/3 the cost of gasoline and if mass produced this price would come down.
3) In 1999 the cost of a barrel of oil was $12. Now it is ~$110. THAT is had a huge affect on food prices as engines for boats, fuel for trucks all has to be paid to OPEC. Farmers in Africa are having crops rot in their fields because they can't afford to buy the gas to bring their crops to market. Saying that a the current microscopic amount of ethanol fuel is responsible for raising food prices is asinine.
4) Re: voluntary choice. Why would anyone buy a flex fuel car when there are no methanol pumps to fuel them with. $100 wasted dollars and these cars are not offered anyway. (You can buy conversion kits but they are a lot more than $100.) It is a chicken and the egg problem. If no one has flex fuel cars, why would gas stations put in methanol / alcohol pumps? If ALL new cars could burn anything, those pumps would go in with out subsidies.
5) Brazil - Has gone from importing 80% of its energy to 0% with flex fuel cars. USA has gone from 30% to 65% energy imports in the same amount of time. Brazil is tearing down slums and putting up cheap housing for its people. The USA's economy... not so much.
6) We could get all our fuel from plant wastes and methanol but it would be a huge amount of work. However, getting some methanol from agri-wastes, urban-wastes weed species and the rest from coal is very doable. After the USA started investing a lot in synth-fuels OPEC lowered their prices in the '80's. Sadly once gas got cheap, the synth-fuels were under funded.
7) Lastly this book is a lot more about methanol than ethanol. Anyway, ethanol has higher octane than ethanol. (And higher octane than gasoline for that matter. That & safety reasons are why indie 500 cars use methanol.)
This book is packed with facts and is a very easy read. Strongly recommended. I've written my congress critter and telling him to support this initiative.
Interesting post. Its also interesting to me that the question is the net good or bad for democracy persists, and persists something as a litmus test for people who get it. I think I get it, whatever that means.
Nice plan ahead. And with the gas prices rising it’s good to think of any great alternatives to fuel-dependent cars.. Now we’re dealing with hybrids and electric cars.
yes..
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